Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 3 - SERIA 7 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 9

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday


	Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești		CSM Deva

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.83	3.47
	1.71	4	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (4.47)	3.92 ↓ (4.45)	3.7 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești
52.8%

Draw
22.9%

CSM Deva
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

20%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

20.3%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești's performance.

CSM Deva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-35.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSM Deva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești than the current prediction. (-33.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSM Deva than the current prediction. (+36.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSM Deva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești - CSM Deva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gilortul will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Deva will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gilortul: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Deva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 7
13.05.23	Viitorul Șimian - Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești	1:0 ✺
05.05.23	Filiași - Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești	1:2 ✺
02.05.23	CSM Deva - Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești	5:0 ✺
28.04.23	Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești - Viitorul Șimian	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești - Filiași	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWLWW
- CSM Deva
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 7
12.05.23	CSM Deva - Filiași	4:0 ✺
05.05.23	CSM Deva - Viitorul Șimian	4:2 ✺
02.05.23	CSM Deva - Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești	5:0 ✺
28.04.23	Filiași - CSM Deva	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Viitorul Șimian - CSM Deva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 7
02.05.23	CSM Deva - Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești	5:0
14.04.23	Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești - CSM Deva	0:0
25.03.23	Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești - CSM Deva	1:1
21.10.22	CSM Deva - Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești	4:0
12.11.21	CSM Deva - Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești	3:0
12.03.21	CSM Deva - Gilortul Târgu Cărbunești	1:0

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