Match Info
Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 12Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
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Gimnasia La Plata |
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River Plate |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.40 |
2.95 |
2.05 |
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 |
3.20 |
3.05 |
2.10 |
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 |
3.57 |
3.10 |
2.10 |
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3.47 |
3.07 |
2.11 |
Watch |
 |
3.50 |
3.05 |
2.07 |
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3.29 |
3.09 |
2.21 |
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3.40 |
3.00 |
2.12 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↓
(3.82) |
3.04 ↓
(3.35) |
2.11 ↑
(1.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gimnasia La Plata
26.8% | Draw
30% | River Plate
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 56', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 69', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 🟥,
- 90+5', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.Gimnasia La Plata has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).River Plate's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. River Plate could have a small edge in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.3:2).Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
Standings
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | River Plate W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
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| 15 | Gimnasia L.P. W | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera A Women | | | 29.08.25 | River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata | 0:0 | | 08.03.25 | Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate | 1:0 | | 22.09.24 | River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata | 0:2 | | 12.06.24 | Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate | 1:2 | | 06.05.23 | Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate | 0:3 | | 28.08.22 | Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate | 1:2 | | 16.11.21 | River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata | 4:2 |
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