Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia La Plata 2		Atlético Tucumán 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	1.82	3.35	3.75	Watch
	1.81	3.73	4.05
	1.93	3.46	3.66	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.33)	3.45 ↑ (2.97)	3.63 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata 2
47.4%

Draw
27%

Atlético Tucumán 2
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia La Plata 2's performance.

Atlético Tucumán 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia La Plata 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (+5%)

Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Abeldano G. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Granillo R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 3, Pimienta F. ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, Ortega M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 3.

Gimnasia La Plata 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Tucumán 2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Tucumán 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.08.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0 ✺
13.08.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Lanús 2	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:3 ✺
29.07.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
24.07.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWWT
- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.08.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:1 ✺
12.08.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Ferro 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
03.04.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:2
06.08.24	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:4
28.02.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:1
01.11.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:1
10.07.23	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:0
08.07.22	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:1
11.04.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:2

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