Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia Mendoza 2		Atlético Tucumán 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3	3	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.43
	2.43	2.91	3.02	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.2	2.95	3.25
	2.4	3.05	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	3.11 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Mendoza 2
40.1%

Draw
30.7%

Atlético Tucumán 2
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Atlético Tucumán 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Granillo R. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Giordani G. ⚽,
45+7', Videla L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Granillo R. ⚽,
90+5', Carrizo M. 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent performances by Gimnasia Mendoza 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Tucumán 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Tucumán 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.05.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	2:3 ✺
05.05.26	Instituto 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWLT
- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
13.05.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Barracas Central 2	3:2 ✺
06.05.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:0 ✺
30.04.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Banfield 2	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Central Córdoba 2	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Rosario Central 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLTL

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