Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia Mendoza 2		Instituto 2

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.10	3.40
	2.02	3.00	3.30	Watch
	2.06	3.15	3.66
	2.1	3.07	3.52	Watch
	2.01	2.95	3.55
	2.06	2.91	3.57
	2.01	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.18)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.5 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Mendoza 2
44.5%

Draw
29.7%

Instituto 2
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Instituto 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Instituto 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Instituto 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 11th).

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Instituto 2 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.10.26	Barracas Central 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:0 ✺
24.09.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Banfield 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWWL
- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
30.09.26	Instituto 2 - Racing Club 2	2:2 ✺
24.09.26	Instituto 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Barracas Central 2 - Instituto 2	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Instituto 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:2 ✺
02.09.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Instituto 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	Instituto 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:0

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