The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giresunspor 37.1%
Draw 28%
İstanbul Başakşehir 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
27.6%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
27.6%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giresunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giresunspor's performance.
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbul Başakşehir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giresunspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbul Başakşehir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
55.6%
33.3%
Giresunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Giresunspor will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5).
Giresunspor has the most likely position - 16 (25.09%), project points - 36, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Başakşehir has the most likely position - 5 (45.15%), project points - 57, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality35, importance34, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Giresunspor: Perez A.
(Elbow Injury)
There will not play in Başakşehir: Okaka S.
(Muscle Injury)
Touba A.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Başakşehir: Karzev E.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
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