Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 33

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Cotanak Stadyumu (Giresun)

Referee: Bahattin S. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Giresunspor		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5	4.33	1.55
	5.25	4.35	1.53
	5.39	4.55	1.6
	5.25	4.33	1.53
	5.4	4.55	1.53	Watch
	5.2	4.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (4.71)	4.4 ↑ (4.12)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giresunspor
18%

Draw
21.3%

Fenerbahçe
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

23%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

22%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	2.9%	85.3%

Giresunspor - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Giresunspor has the most likely position - 16 (38.05%), project points - 34, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (83%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Fenerbahçe has the most likely position - 2 (57.28%), project points - 80, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (27%), a chance of win league (27%).

This event has quality 37, big importance 72, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 1.

Giresunspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fenerbahçe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giresunspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fenerbahçe is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Giresunspor: Perez A. (Elbow Injury) Savicevic V. (Muscle Injury) Senghor F. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Bayindir A. (Injury) Kahveci I. C. (Red Card) Lincoln (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 10-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Giresunspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giresunspor
Turkish Super League
01.05.23	İstanbulspor - Giresunspor	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	Giresunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:4 ✺
20.04.23	Ankaragücü - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
16.04.23	Giresunspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Beşiktaş - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Cup
03.05.23	Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
29.04.23	Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
24.04.23	Fenerbahçe - İstanbulspor	3:3 ✺
19.04.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Fenerbahçe - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.11.22	Fenerbahçe - Giresunspor	1:2
12.02.22	Giresunspor - Fenerbahçe	1:2
23.09.21	Fenerbahçe - Giresunspor	2:1
Club Friendly
09.08.21	Giresunspor - Fenerbahçe	1:3
Turkish Cup
20.12.18	Giresunspor - Fenerbahçe	2:5
06.12.18	Fenerbahçe - Giresunspor	1:0
07.02.18	Fenerbahçe - Giresunspor	2:1

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