Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 7

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Girona B		Pobla de Mafumet

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	2.8
	2.41	2.63	3.17
	2.41	2.63	3.17
	2.28	3.04	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.53)	2.79 ↓ (3.05)	3.04 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona B
38%

Draw
32.3%

Pobla de Mafumet
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Pobla de Mafumet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobla de Mafumet than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pobla de Mafumet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Girona B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Peralada - Girona B	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Girona B - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Vilafranca - Girona B	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Girona B - LEscala	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Girona B - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWTT
- CF Pobla de Mafumet
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Tona	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Rapitenca	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Prat - Pobla de Mafumet	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Olot	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Mollerussa - Pobla de Mafumet	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Girona B - Pobla de Mafumet	1:1
23.10.22	Pobla de Mafumet - Girona B	1:0
20.03.22	Pobla de Mafumet - Girona B	1:0
14.11.21	Girona B - Pobla de Mafumet	1:0

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