Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Girona B		Vilafranca

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.83	3.1	4.09
	1.84	3.24	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)	3.18 ↓ (3.26)	4.04 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona B
49.4%

Draw
28.3%

Vilafranca
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Vilafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Girona B won 4.

Girona B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vilafranca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilafranca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Girona B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Girona B won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
10.02.24	LEscala - Girona B	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Vilassar de Mar - Girona B	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Girona B - Tona	3:0 ✺
21.01.24	Girona B - Reus FC Reddis	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Rapitenca - Girona B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL
- FC Vilafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
11.02.24	Vilafranca - Tona	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Reus FC Reddis - Vilafranca	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Vilafranca - Rapitenca	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Vilafranca - Prat	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Olot - Vilafranca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.09.23	Vilafranca - Girona B	1:2
29.01.23	Vilafranca - Girona B	0:4
02.10.22	Girona B - Vilafranca	4:2
17.10.21	Vilafranca - Girona B	1:0
02.05.21	Girona B - Vilafranca	1:0
10.04.21	Vilafranca - Girona B	0:3

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