Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Giulianova		Tolentino

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.15	3.15	2.1
	3.33	3.29	2.19
	3.18	3.34	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.26 ↓ (3.5)	2.11 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulianova
28.6%

Draw
28.1%

Tolentino
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

20.6%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulianova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tolentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulianova than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulianova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tolentino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giulianova - Tolentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 10).

Giulianova is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tolentino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tolentino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Giulianova have a series of guest games.

Recently Tolentino have a series of home games.

Tolentino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Giulianova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Giulianova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Giulianova
Italian Serie D - Group F
28.02.21	Recanatese - Giulianova	3:2 ✺
24.02.21	Giulianova - Vastese	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Giulianova	3:1 ✺
17.02.21	Olympia Agnonese - Giulianova	2:3
14.02.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Giulianova	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTLWL
- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
03.03.21	Notaresco - Tolentino	2:2 ✺
28.02.21	Tolentino - Rieti	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Tolentino - Campobasso	4:0 ✺
10.02.21	Tolentino - Olympia Agnonese	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Tolentino - Cynthialbalonga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
18.10.20	Tolentino - Giulianova	1:1
22.12.19	Giulianova - Tolentino	1:2

Giulianova - Tolentino

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Giulianova - Tolentino Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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