Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Buzau)

Referee: Catalin G. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Gloria Buzău		Politehnica Iași

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.44	3.15	2.85
	2.45	3.12	2.98	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.46	3.22	2.91	Watch
	2.44	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.51)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.86 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloria Buzău
38%

Draw
29.5%

Politehnica Iași
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

30%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloria Buzău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gloria Buzău's performance.

Politehnica Iași has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Politehnica Iași might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloria Buzău than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gloria Buzău that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Politehnica Iași than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Politehnica Iași could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	21.4%	21.4%

Gloria Buzău - Politehnica Iași Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gloria Buzău will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Poli Iași will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gloria Buzău: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gloria Buzău (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Poli Iași (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lazar D. (G) 14. Ciranni A. 3. Puerto I. 21. Dobrosavlevici A. 26. de Nooijer B. 24. Saveljevs A. 8. Albu D. 4. Mihai L. 20. Tavares D. 19. Benavente C. 42. Brobbey K.	88. Fernandez J. (G) 42. Guilherme 2. Umar M. 6. Boben M. 27. Ispas R. 19. Camara S. 37. Bordeianu M. (C) 24. Marchioni J. 20. Stefanovici S. 10. Roman A. 9. Skuka X.
Substitutes
99. Buda F. 6. Calin T. 92. Cestor M. 80. Dumitrascu D. 12. Greab A. (G) 30. Isfan A. 98. Jipa A. 17. Lea S. J. 39. Railean D. (G) 18. Salceanu R. 5. Turda G. 28. Vito	26. Adascalitei M. 1. Ailenei I. (G) 7. Amaral J. 30. Bordusanu A. 77. Ciobanu D. 13. Cret C. 11. Diakhaby A. 8. Dudu 4. Moreira C. 5. Oum Gouet S. 99. Tailson 21. Tanasa M.
Coaches
Stan I.	Miriuta V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Skuka X. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Benavente C. ↓, Jipa A. ↑,
62', Mihai L. ↓, Isfan A. ↑,
68', Albu D. ↓, Lea S. J. ↑,
68', Puerto I. ↓, Turda G. ↑,
70', Skuka X. ↓, Adascalitei M. ↑,
74', Saveljevs A. 🟨,
83', Saveljevs A. ↓, Vito ↑,
83', Roman A. ↓, Amaral J. ↑,
83', Bordeianu M. ↓, Dudu ↑,
86', Amaral J. 🟨,
90+5', Marchioni J. ↓, Oum Gouet S. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Gloria Buzău is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Politehnica Iași is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Gloria Buzău: Budescu C. (Injury) Dumitru C. (Injury) Lovric D. (Injury) Matos R. (Injury) Pirvulescu S. (Inactive) Salceanu R. (Injury) Tescan D. (Injury)

There will not play in Politehnica Iași: Moise R. F. (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gloria Buzău won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Gloria Buzău won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloria Buzău
Romanian SuperLiga
06.04.25	Hermannstadt - Gloria Buzău	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Gloria Buzău - Oţelul Galaţi	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Sepsi OSK - Gloria Buzău	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	CFR Cluj - Gloria Buzău	6:0 ✺
03.03.25	Gloria Buzău - UTA Arad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WLWLT
- CSM Politehnica Iași
Romanian SuperLiga
04.04.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Politehnica Iași	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Politehnica Iași - UTA Arad	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Farul Constanța - Politehnica Iași	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Politehnica Iași	2:3 ✺
02.03.25	Politehnica Iași - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
30.11.24	Gloria Buzău - Politehnica Iași	2:0
27.07.24	Politehnica Iași - Gloria Buzău	1:2
Romanian Division 2
07.05.23	Gloria Buzău - Politehnica Iași	1:1

Gloria Buzău - Politehnica Iași: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide