Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Gneist		Lillestrøm 2

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.5	2.53
	2.31	3.8	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.7)	3.65 ↓ (3.82)	2.55 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gneist
39.3%

Draw
24.9%

Lillestrøm 2
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

23.8%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

22.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gneist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gneist's performance.

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lillestrøm 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gneist than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gneist that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lillestrøm 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Gneist is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lillestrøm 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gneist won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Gneist
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
09.09.23	Stabæk 2 - Gneist	5:0 ✺
02.09.23	Gneist - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Os TF - Gneist	2:4 ✺
19.08.23	Gneist - Fana	0:3 ✺
12.08.23	Skjetten - Gneist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.9 LWWLL
- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
09.09.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Lysekloster	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Frigg Oslo - Lillestrøm 2	6:0 ✺
28.08.23	Skjetten - Lillestrøm 2	3:1 ✺
19.08.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Os TF	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Fana - Lillestrøm 2	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
03.06.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Gneist	3:1

Gneist - Lillestrøm 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide