Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Divino Garcia Rosa (Goiatuba)


	Goiatuba		Atlético Monte Azul

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	1.86	3.2	4
	1.89	3.15	4.32
	1.85	3.21	4.23	Watch
	1.9	3.53	3.84
	1.86	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.7)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	3.93 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiatuba
48.3%

Draw
28.4%

Atlético Monte Azul
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.9%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goiatuba's performance.

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Monte Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiatuba than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goiatuba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Monte Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Goiatuba - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Goiatuba will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiatuba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Goiatuba (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiatuba (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+9', 1 - 1, Joao L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).

In recent matches, Goiatuba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monte Azul has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiatuba EC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Goiatuba - Operário MS	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Uberlândia - Goiatuba	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Goiatuba - Itabirito	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	FC Cascavel - Goiatuba	1:4 ✺
20.04.25	Goiatuba - Internacional de Limeira	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLTWL
- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Atlético Monte Azul - FC Cascavel	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Internacional de Limeira - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Operário MS - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Itabirito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTTL

Goiatuba - Atlético Monte Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide