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Current Win Probability
Gomel 2 29.9%
Draw 22.7%
Niva Dolbizno 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
23.6%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
22.9%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gomel 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel 2 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Ryzhchenko A. (G) 11. Achapovskiy A. 2. Bondarchuk A. 7. Drozdov M. 3. Lipnitskiy K. 15. Rakhmatov A. 10. Savitskiy A. 8. Sergutko P. 20. Shapovalov R. 9. Starostenko N. 30. Troyakov E. (C)
12. Dovnar N. (G) 10. Dybin V. 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. (C) 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A.
Substitutes
54. Bondarenko A. 23. Emeljanov D. 91. Gegechkori D. 22. Glushko M. 72. Grishkov D. 16. Kabysh M. 33. Nanaev V. 27. Tishkov E. 87. Voropaev V. (G)
99. Bondarenko V. 3. Druchik M. 35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V. 91. Voronovich A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Fedortsov D. ⚽, Galuza D. (A),
69', 0 - 2, Shcherbo V. ⚽, Galuza D. (A),
70', 1 - 2, Savitskiy A. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).
Recent form of Gomel 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Niva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Niva might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gomel 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Including home match between the teams, Gomel 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.