Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 22

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Kobuleti Football Center (Kobuleti)


	Gonio		Tbilisi 2025

	1	X	2
	3.97	3.04	1.93	Watch
	4.01	3.85	1.75	Watch
	4.33	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.33)	3.63 ↓ (4)	1.75 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonio
22.3%

Draw
25.3%

Tbilisi 2025
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

22.4%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

21.8%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Tbilisi 2025 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonio than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tbilisi 2025 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tbilisi 2025 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gonio - Tbilisi 2025 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Vinicius Belotti ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2).

Gonio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tbilisi 2025 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tbilisi 2025 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gonio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tbilisi 2025	22	14	7	1	54:14	40	49
5	Gonio	22	11	5	6	32:22	10	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gonio
Georgian Liga 3
03.09.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Gonio	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Gonio - Iberia 1999 2	2:2 ✺
20.08.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gonio	4:0 ✺
13.08.26	Gonio - Iveria Khashuri	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Iberia 2010 - Gonio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTW
- FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgian Liga 3
03.09.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Tbilisi 2025	3:3 ✺
27.08.26	Tbilisi 2025 - Iveria Khashuri	5:0 ✺
20.08.26	Iberia 2010 - Tbilisi 2025	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	Tbilisi 2025 - Kolkheti Khobi	4:0 ✺
06.08.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Tbilisi 2025	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Liga 3
24.04.26	Tbilisi 2025 - Gonio	1:1

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