Match Info

2. SNL - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Športni park Nova Gorica (Nova Gorica)


	Gorica		Bilje

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.1
	1.72	3.9	3.7
	1.84	3.39	4.24	Watch
	1.8	3.65	4.17
	1.67	3.64	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.66)	3.64 ↑ (3.52)	4.13 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
52.6%

Draw
25.2%

Bilje
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

26.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Bilje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilje than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Gorica - Bilje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Kovacevic ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3.

Gorica is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bilje has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Gorica is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Gorica
Slovenian 2 SNL
06.09.25	Nafta - Gorica	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Gorica - Bistrica	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Tabor Sežana - Gorica	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Gorica - Jadran Dekani	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Jesenice - Gorica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLT
- ND Bilje
Slovenian 2 SNL
06.09.25	Bilje - Dravinja	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Krka - Bilje	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bilje - Rudar Velenje	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Bilje	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Bilje - Triglav	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
29.03.25	Gorica - Bilje	2:0
Slovenian Cup
25.09.24	Gorica - Bilje	0:1
Slovenian 2 SNL
15.09.24	Bilje - Gorica	2:2
11.11.23	Bilje - Gorica	0:1
30.08.23	Gorica - Bilje	3:2
21.11.21	Bilje - Gorica	0:2
07.08.21	Gorica - Bilje	3:2

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