Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Rwanda	19:00	Magic Sports TV


	Gorilla		Rayon Sports

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.70	2.16
	3.71	3.13	2.01	Watch
	3.65	3.00	1.85
	4.04	3.21	1.92
	3.55	3.00	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.24)	3.01 ↑ (2.87)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorilla
24.6%

Draw
29.9%

Rayon Sports
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.6%

31.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Rayon Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Gorilla - Rayon Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Nshutinziza D. (Own goal),
90+8', 🟥,
90+10', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 0.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rayon Sports holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Gorilla has recorded 1 win, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:15 (averaging 0.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gorilla against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 2:8 goals (averaging 0.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gorilla	6	3	2	1	4:2	2	11
18	Rayon Sport	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Last Results with these Odds

Rayon Sports - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.21%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gorilla FC
Rwanda Premier League
12.09.26	Gorilla - Etincelles	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kiyovu Sports - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Gorilla - Al-Merreikh	3:1 ✺
15.05.26	Rayon Sports - Gorilla	1:1 ✺
Rwanda Peace Cup
12.05.26	Rayon Sports - Gorilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LWWTT
- Rayon Sports FC
Rwanda Premier League
17.09.26	Rayon Sports - Sunrise	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
12.09.26	Rayon Sports - Panthère du Ndé	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Panthère du Ndé - Rayon Sports	1:1 ✺
Rwanda Super Cup
27.08.26	Rayon Sports - Police	0:1 penalties ✺
CECAFA Clubs Cup
07.08.26	Rayon Sports - Gor Mahia	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
15.05.26	Rayon Sports - Gorilla	1:1
Rwanda Peace Cup
12.05.26	Rayon Sports - Gorilla	0:0
22.04.26	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	1:1
Rwanda Premier League
19.12.25	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	1:2
28.05.25	Rayon Sports - Gorilla	1:0
Rwanda Peace Cup
06.03.25	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	0:1
26.02.25	Rayon Sports - Gorilla	2:2

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