Match Info

Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday


	Gorodeja		Torpedo-BelAZ

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.36	Watch
	5	4.33	1.48
	5.4	4	1.5	Watch
	6.2	4.1	1.46
	6.23	4.34	1.52
	6.5	4.2	1.44	Watch
	6.6	4.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.06 ↑ (4.52)	4.24 ↑ (3.8)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorodeja
15.2%

Draw
21.8%

Torpedo-BelAZ
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

20.1%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorodeja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Torpedo-BelAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo-BelAZ's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Gorodeja - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 4).

Gorodeja is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torpedo-BelAZ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torpedo-BelAZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Torpedo-BelAZ is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Gorodeja won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorodeja won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gorodeja
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.09.20	Minsk - Gorodeja	3:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
29.08.20	Naftan - Gorodeja	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.08.20	Gorodeja - Rukh Brest	1:3 ✺
08.08.20	BATE Borisov - Gorodeja	1:0 ✺
02.08.20	Gorodeja - SKA-1938	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLT
- Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
13.09.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Slavia Mozyr	4:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
30.08.20	Oshmyany - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:5 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.08.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Minsk	1:1 ✺
08.08.20	Rukh Brest - Torpedo-BelAZ	3:3 ✺
02.08.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - BATE Borisov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
15.05.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	3:1
25.08.19	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	1:1
20.04.19	Gorodeja - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:3
31.08.18	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	0:1
29.04.18	Gorodeja - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1
Club Friendly
01.02.18	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.10.17	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	3:2

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