Match Info
Ligue 1 - Round 23Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday
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Gorée |
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Jaraaf |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.68 |
2.38 |
3.15 |
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2.69 |
2.28 |
3.31 |
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2.73 |
2.36 |
3.37 |
Watch |
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2.6 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
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2.67 |
2.3 |
3.44 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.67 ↓ (2.78) |
2.32 ↑ (2.28) |
3.29 ↑ (3.18) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gorée 33.8% | Draw 38.8% | Jaraaf 27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorée has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Jaraaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraaf than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Gorée - Jaraaf Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorée won 2.Gorée is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Jaraaf is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Gorée may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gorée won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.6:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Gorée won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | US Goree | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 29:14 | 15 | 48 |
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| 7 | Jaraaf | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 41 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Gorée - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.34%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Senegal Ligue 1 | | | 21.05.25 | Jaraaf - Gorée | 0:1 | | 23.12.24 | Gorée - Jaraaf | 2:0 | | 17.03.24 | Jaraaf - Gorée | 2:0 | | 19.11.23 | Gorée - Jaraaf | 0:1 | | 15.04.23 | Gorée - Jaraaf | 0:0 | | 12.11.22 | Jaraaf - Gorée | 0:0 | | 30.04.22 | Jaraaf - Gorée | 3:0 |
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