Match Info

ICELAND: Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Vivaldivöllurinn (Seltjarnarnes)


	Grótta		ÍBV Vestmannaeyar

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.8	1.87
	3.4	4.1	1.74	Watch
	3.57	4.34	1.8
	3.23	4.27	1.92
	3.1	3.8	1.91
	3.3	4	1.84	Watch
	3.05	3.9	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)	4.03 ↑ (3.62)	1.86 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grótta
28.1%

Draw
22.7%

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

25.2%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.2%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grótta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ÍBV Vestmannaeyar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grótta than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Grótta - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grótta will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). ÍBV will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ÍBV: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Danielsson R. (G) 4. Adalsteinsson A. 77. Arnason P. 3. Brennhaugen E. 12. Eyjolfsson G. 2. Helgason A. 19. Melsted K. 10. Petursson K. (C) 5. Petursson P. 22. Shihab T. 23. Timan D.	1. Eliasson J. (G) 3. Fridriksson F. 14. Gunnarsson A. 22. Heidarsson O. 25. Hilmarsson A. (C) 10. Hjaltested S. 7. Hrafnkelsson G. 5. Ingason J. 2. Magnusson S. 45. Runarsson E. 8. Valor V.
Substitutes
6. Arnarsson A. 31. Henriksen T. (G) 29. Jakobsson G. 18. Josepsson A. 21. McShane H. 17. Robertsson T. 11. Sigurdarson A.	12. Arnarsson H. (G) 17. Benonysson S. 19. Christiansen R. 20. Omarsson E. 24. Ragnarsson H. 11. Thorvardarson V. 31. Valgeirsson V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Ingason J. ⚽,
23', Timan D. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Valor V. ⚽, Gunnarsson A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Arnason P. ↓, Robertsson T. ↑,
65', Ingason J. ↓, Christiansen R. ↑,
65', Heidarsson O. ↓, Ragnarsson H. ↑,
70', Hilmarsson A. 🟨,
77', 0 - 3, Ragnarsson H. ⚽,
81', Runarsson E. 🟨,
84', Valor V. ↓, Valgeirsson V. ↑,
87', Shihab T. 🟨,
89', Ragnarsson H. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).

Grótta is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches ÍBV is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ÍBV will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grótta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Grótta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Grótta
Icelandic Division 1
07.06.24	Grótta - Throttur Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	Dalvík Reynir - Grótta	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Grótta - Leiknir Reykjavík	4:3 ✺
20.05.24	Grindavik - Grótta	2:2 ✺
10.05.24	Grótta - Keflavík	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTWTW
- ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Division 1
07.06.24	IR Reykjavik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
01.06.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fjölnir	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Njarðvík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:0 ✺
20.05.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Thor Akureyri	1:1 ✺
10.05.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Throttur Reykjavik	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
27.02.22	Grótta - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:6
Icelandic Division 1
23.09.21	Grótta - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:3
09.07.21	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Grótta	0:1

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