Match Info

Karnten - Round 28

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Grafenstein		ATUS Ferlach

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.4
	1.56	4.16	4.3
	1.59	4.24	4.37	Watch
	1.54	4.2	4.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	4.18 ↓ (4.22)	4.43 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grafenstein
58%

Draw
21.7%

ATUS Ferlach
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

21.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

21%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grafenstein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ATUS Ferlach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grafenstein than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ATUS Ferlach than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Grafenstein - ATUS Ferlach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Grafenstein is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grafenstein won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	TSV Grafenstein	10	5	3	2	24:14	10	18
8	Atus Ferlach	10	4	3	3	17:11	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Grafenstein
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
16.05.26	Matrei - Grafenstein	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Grafenstein - ATSV Wolfsberg	3:4 ✺
08.05.26	KAC 1909 - Grafenstein	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Grafenstein - Lendorf	0:1 ✺
30.04.26	SAK Klagenfurt - Grafenstein	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTLW
- ATUS Ferlach
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
16.05.26	ATUS Ferlach - Nußdorf Debant	4:2 ✺
13.05.26	Bleiburg - ATUS Ferlach	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	ATUS Ferlach - Donau Klagenfurt	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Köttmannsdorf - ATUS Ferlach	2:2 ✺
30.04.26	ATUS Ferlach - Dellach Gail	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Karnten
18.10.25	ATUS Ferlach - Grafenstein	2:0

Grafenstein - ATUS Ferlach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide