Match Info

Karnten - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Grafenstein		ATUS Ferlach

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.80	3.60
	1.62	3.85	3.7
	1.69	4.05	3.85
	1.73	4.23	3.61	Watch
	1.66	3.95	3.65
	1.71	3.9	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.36)	3.96 ↓ (5.1)	3.69 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grafenstein
53.1%

Draw
22.6%

ATUS Ferlach
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.5%

18%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grafenstein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grafenstein's form might have worsened.

ATUS Ferlach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ATUS Ferlach's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 5th and 7th).

Grafenstein may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grafenstein enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Grafenstein in today's match, at odds of 1.38.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Grafenstein has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Grafenstein against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Atus Ferlach	14	7	4	3	29:15	14	25
6	TSV Grafenstein	14	7	4	3	35:19	16	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Grafenstein
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
17.10.26	Grafenstein - Köttmannsdorf	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Grafenstein - Dellach Gail	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Landskron - Grafenstein	1:4 ✺
04.09.26	Grafenstein - Nußdorf Debant	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Grafenstein - SAK Klagenfurt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWW
- ATUS Ferlach
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
02.10.26	ATUS Ferlach - Nußdorf Debant	5:0 ✺
26.09.26	SAK Klagenfurt - ATUS Ferlach	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	ATUS Ferlach - Lendorf	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	KAC 1909 - ATUS Ferlach	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	ATUS Ferlach - Launsdorf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Karnten
23.05.26	Grafenstein - ATUS Ferlach	5:0
18.10.25	ATUS Ferlach - Grafenstein	2:0

Grafenstein - ATUS Ferlach