Match Info

SERBIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday


	Grafičar Beograd		Novi Sad 1921

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.3	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.31	4.71	7.69
	1.31	4.71	7.69
	1.29	4.5	7.5
	1.29	4.9	8.2
	1.35	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	4.68 ↑ (4.29)	7.65 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grafičar Beograd
68.9%

Draw
19.3%

Novi Sad 1921
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.9%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

13.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grafičar Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Novi Sad 1921 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grafičar Beograd than the current prediction. (-26.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grafičar Beograd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Sad 1921 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novi Sad 1921 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Grafičar Beograd - Novi Sad 1921 Predictions

Users Predictions: Grafičar Beograd will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grafičar Beograd
Serbian Cup
07.12.23	Partizan - Grafičar Beograd	2:1 penalties ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
02.12.23	Dubočica - Grafičar Beograd	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Grafičar Beograd - Radnički Beograd	4:2 ✺
22.11.23	Grafičar Beograd - Kolubara	1:0 ✺
18.11.23	Jedinstvo Ub - Grafičar Beograd	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- RFK Novi Sad 1921
Serbian Prva Liga
01.12.23	Novi Sad 1921 - Inđija	0:1 ✺
27.11.23	Novi Sad 1921 - Dubočica	0:0 ✺
22.11.23	Novi Sad 1921 - Radnički Sremska Mitrovica	2:2 ✺
17.11.23	Radnički Beograd - Novi Sad 1921	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Novi Sad 1921 - Jedinstvo Ub	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
03.09.23	Novi Sad 1921 - Grafičar Beograd	2:2
12.05.23	Grafičar Beograd - Novi Sad 1921	2:0
06.03.23	Grafičar Beograd - Novi Sad 1921	0:2
05.09.22	Novi Sad 1921 - Grafičar Beograd	1:1

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