Match Info

Prva Liga - Championship Group - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)


	Grafičar Beograd		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.25
	2.95	2.95	2.37
	2.78	3.11	2.36
	3.63	3.16	2.08	Watch
	3	2.8	2.35
	2.94	2.96	2.38
	2.95	2.95	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.96)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	2.31 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grafičar Beograd
30%

Draw
30.6%

Radnik Surdulica
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

31.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

30.7%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grafičar Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grafičar Beograd than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Grafičar Beograd - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Draskic V. (G) 99. Bogicevic A. 60. Jevremovic J. 15. Lazic D. 3. Maric B. 12. Mboup B. 98. Mladenovic V. 6. Rankovic D. 17. Srbijanac M. 13. Vasiljevic F. (C) 18. Velickovic S.	99. Randjelovic S. (G) 33. Blagojevic U. 9. Bogdanovic V. 25. Djokovic M. 66. Gasic M. (C) 4. Hajdarevic H. 88. Jovanovic D. 23. Milic A. 14. Orescanin M. 7. Owusu D. 10. Petrovic V.
Substitutes
88. Ajdar O. 20. Djuric D. 11. Duric L. 16. Ebere E. 22. Eric V. (G) 9. Furtula N. 25. Gojkov N. 44. Jovanovic A. 2. Mandic M. 14. Markisic F. 19. Stojanovic S.	17. Carapic S. 13. Dolmagic D. 19. Lazarevic A. 12. Pavlov E. 8. Puzovic L. 1. Stamenkovic M. (G) 6. Stojanovic D. 54. Stojanovic M. 16. Tomic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
6', 1 - 0, Mladenovic V. ⚽,
20', Orescanin M. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Mboup B. ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, Petrovic V. ⚽,
29', 2 - 2, Bogdanovic V. ⚽,
35', Srbijanac M. 🟨,
40', 2 - 3, Bogdanovic V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bogicevic A. ↓, Furtula N. ↑,
46', Jevremovic J. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
54', 3 - 3, Stojanovic S. ⚽,
54', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Pavlov E. ↑,
58', Velickovic S. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
63', Jovanovic D. ↓, Dolmagic D. ↑,
63', Petrovic V. ↓, Puzovic L. ↑,
65', Maric B. 🟨,
75', Mboup B. 🟨,
77', Gasic M. ↓, Stojanovic D. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grafičar Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
27.04.25	Voždovac - Grafičar Beograd	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Borac Čačak - Grafičar Beograd	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Grafičar Beograd - Vršac	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Grafičar Beograd - Mladost Novi Sad	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Inđija - Grafičar Beograd	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWTWW
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Prva Liga
28.04.25	Radnik Surdulica - Mačva Šabac	4:0 ✺
23.04.25	Mladost Novi Sad - Radnik Surdulica	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Radnik Surdulica - Javor Ivanjica	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Radnik Surdulica - Trayal Kruševac	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Radnik Surdulica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
23.02.25	Radnik Surdulica - Grafičar Beograd	4:1
15.09.24	Grafičar Beograd - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
Serbian Superliga
04.06.23	Radnik Surdulica - Grafičar Beograd	2:0
31.05.23	Grafičar Beograd - Radnik Surdulica	1:1

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