Match Info

Mozzart Serbian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)


	Grafičar Beograd		Radnički Niš

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.15	2.32
	2.75	3.2	2.36
	2.68	3.39	2.49	Watch
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.92	3.23	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (4.1)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	2.4 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grafičar Beograd
33.2%

Draw
28.7%

Radnički Niš
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.3%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

27.3%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grafičar Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grafičar Beograd's performance.

Radnički Niš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnički Niš might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grafičar Beograd than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grafičar Beograd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnički Niš could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grafičar Beograd - Radnički Niš Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
55', 🟨,
69', 🟥,
70', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Grafičar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Radnički Niš's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Radnički Niš is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grafičar Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
29.11.25	Grafičar Beograd - Zemun	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Borac Čačak - Grafičar Beograd	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Grafičar Beograd - Jedinstvo Ub	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kabel Novi Sad - Grafičar Beograd	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Grafičar Beograd - Mačva Šabac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWTW
- Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga
29.11.25	Mladost Lučani - Radnički Niš	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Radnički Niš - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Radnički Niš - Vojvodina	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	OFK Beograd - Radnički Niš	0:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.25	Sloboda Užice - Radnički Niš	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLWW

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