The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grafičar Beograd 35.7%
Draw 28.4%
Spartak Subotica 35.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.2%
27%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
25.5%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grafičar Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grafičar Beograd than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grafičar Beograd that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Subotica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grafičar Beograd - Spartak Subotica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Vojvodic V. (G) 7. Bijelovic L. 23. Djordjevic U. 9. Furtula N. 5. Golubovic P. 4. Hajdin S. 15. Lazic D. 8. Nikolic L. 99. Obasi P. 27. Roganovic V. 13. Vasiljevic F. (C)
1. Minic D. (G) 11. Bastajic N. (C) 6. Ebuka 77. Enzo 14. Karaklajic N. 23. Kovacevic A. 55. Kovacevic V. 33. Kuveljic N. 44. Motika N. 30. Peic L. 22. Petrovic A.
Substitutes
77. Anokic D. 22. Curuvija N. (G) 33. Lakicevic I. 3. Maric B. 19. Papovic B. 6. Subotic V. 78. Tucker J. 80. Zivanovic M.
43. Branco P. 71. Campos T. 7. Covic N. 36. Desnica V. 12. Dulic M. (G) 20. Miranovic N. 9. Mulato J. 27. Stojanovic S. 24. Vasilic S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Enzo ⚽,
37', Kovacevic V. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Petrovic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Golubovic P. ↓, Lakicevic I. ↑,
59', Obasi P. ↓, Zivanovic M. ↑,
59', Djordjevic U. ↓, Subotic V. ↑,
76', Lazic D. 🟨,
76', Anokic D. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
78', Enzo ↓, Mulato J. ↑,
88', Bastajic N. ↓, Vasilic S. ↑,
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Sp. Subotica
15
5
4
6
24:28
-4
19
15
Graficar Beograd
15
3
2
10
18:29
-11
11
Last Results with these Odds
Grafičar Beograd - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.