Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Grama		Vilafranca

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.83	3.15	3.9
	1.83	3.12	3.9
	1.88	3.14	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.14)	3.13 ↑ (3)	3.85 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grama
48.1%

Draw
28.6%

Vilafranca
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.6%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grama's performance.

Vilafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grama than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Grama - Vilafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grama won 4.

Recent matches Grama is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilafranca is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Vilafranca have a series of home games.

Grama will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Grama won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grama won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	LEscala - Grama	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Grama - Girona B	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Tona - Grama	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Grama - Reus FC Reddis	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Rapitenca - Grama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLLW
- FC Vilafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	Vilafranca - Pobla de Mafumet	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Peralada - Vilafranca	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Vilafranca - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Vilafranca - Vilassar de Mar	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Vilafranca - Girona B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.02.23	Grama - Vilafranca	3:1
15.10.22	Vilafranca - Grama	0:1
12.03.22	Vilafranca - Grama	0:3
07.11.21	Grama - Vilafranca	0:0
17.02.19	Grama - Vilafranca	2:1
23.09.18	Vilafranca - Grama	1:1

Grama - Vilafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide