The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gran Peña 59.5%
Draw 23.6%
Paiosaco 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
26.7%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
25.9%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Paiosaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Millan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Gran Peña is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.