Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday


	Gran Peña		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.35
	2.85	3	2.4
	2.78	3.05	2.57
	2.72	2.63	2.57
	2.97	2.92	2.46
	2.8	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.06)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2.46 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
32.2%

Draw
31%

Salamanca
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

28.5%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salamanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gran Peña - Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Rivera J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Fassani G. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.06.24	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	UD Ourense - Gran Peña	3:3 ✺
26.05.24	Gran Peña - Sarriana	4:1 ✺
18.05.24	Sarriana - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Polvorín - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTT
- Salamanca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
09.06.24	Salamanca - Atlético Tordesillas	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Salamanca	0:2 ✺
26.05.24	Salamanca - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Atlético Astorga - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
01.05.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWW

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