Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Gran Peña		Villalonga

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.01	3.35	3.3
	2.08	3.2	3.19
	2.09	3.34	3.23	Watch
	2.14	3.4	3.24
	2.01	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)	3.31 ↑ (3.23)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
44.2%

Draw
27.6%

Villalonga
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Villalonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villalonga than the current prediction. (-1%)

Gran Peña - Villalonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, ⚽,
83', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Gran Peña has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villalonga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gran Peña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Villalonga has had a series of home games.

Gran Peña could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	Valladares - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Gran Peña - Arosa	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Barbadás - Gran Peña	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Atlético Arteixo - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLLTT
- Villalonga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.05.25	Villalonga - Betanzos	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Villalonga - Somozas	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Boiro - Villalonga	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Villalonga - Alondras	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Villalonga - Barbadás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.12.24	Villalonga - Gran Peña	1:1

Gran Peña - Villalonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide