Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 6

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Gran Tarajal		Arucas

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.7
	2.27	2.97	2.77
	2.31	3.18	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.29)	3.12 ↑ (3.07)	2.76 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Tarajal
39.1%

Draw
28.6%

Arucas
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Tarajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Tarajal than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Gran Tarajal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arucas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arucas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Tarajal won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gran Tarajal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Gran Tarajal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
07.10.23	Panadería Pulido - Gran Tarajal	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Gran Tarajal - Las Palmas B	0:6 ✺
23.09.23	Villa de Santa Brígida - Gran Tarajal	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Gran Tarajal - Lanzarote	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Tenerife B - Gran Tarajal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLTTT
- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
06.10.23	Arucas - Teror	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Unión Sur Yaiza - Arucas	3:1 ✺
22.09.23	Arucas - Tamaraceite	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Herbania - Arucas	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Arucas - Buzanada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.04.23	Gran Tarajal - Arucas	0:1
10.12.22	Arucas - Gran Tarajal	0:1
16.04.22	Arucas - Gran Tarajal	2:2
05.12.21	Gran Tarajal - Arucas	0:0
12.12.20	Arucas - Gran Tarajal	2:2

Gran Tarajal - Arucas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide