The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Granada 40.2%
Draw 28.5%
Eibar 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
28.8%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
30.1%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eibar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Granada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Granada - Eibar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Gomez Y. (G) 4. Lopez J. 20. Jujuba Cardozo (C) 22. Leles 21. Perea P. 11. Sanmartin N. 6. Gutierrez D. 14. Kojima M. 8. Guridi E. 19. Gil R. 10. Molina V.
1. Wellmann A. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 14. Botero E. 4. Andres C. (C) 12. Belem A. 23. Ortiz S. 11. Martin S. 22. Noe 6. Rico Torres A. 17. Moreno E. 9. Alvarez C.
Substitutes
24. Alvarez Huerta G. R. 30. Corsi L. 26. Ibanez A. (G) 9. Lopez B. 29. Martos A. 31. Mateos A. 2. Merida T. 18. Munoz B. 7. Santiago I. 28. Zafra Carmona M.
21. Angeles 5. Azpiazu Moreno N. 16. Carvajal M. 7. De Meester T. 13. Marti L. (G) 3. Masegur M. 8. Sanchez N. 20. Seidl M.
Coaches
Martin A.
Goikoetxea I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Belem A. 🟨,
12', Martin S. 🟨,
12', Leles 🟨,
27', Alvarez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Martin A. 🟨,
55', Andres C. 🟨,
61', Perea P. 🟨,
64', Perea P. ↓, Munoz B. ↑,
64', Molina V. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
66', Alvarez C. ↓, Angeles ↑,
69', Gil R. 🟨,
72', Ortiz S. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
75', Guridi E. ↓, Martos A. ↑,
81', Martin S. 🟥,
88', Gil R. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 4.
Granada has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Eibar shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Eibar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Granada for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Granada has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:4 (averaging 1.6:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Granada against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Spain
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Gomez Y. (G) 
Jujuba Cardozo (C) 
Kojima M. 
Wellmann A. (G) 
Botero E. 
Belem A. 
Alvarez Huerta G. R. 
De Meester T. 
Sanchez N. 
Seidl M. 
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