Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Grbalj Radanovici		Mornar Bar

	1	X	2
	6.4	3.55	1.45
	6	4.32	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↑ (5.7)	3.94 ↓ (4.5)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grbalj Radanovici
14.5%

Draw
22.8%

Mornar Bar
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.1%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

17%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grbalj Radanovici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grbalj Radanovici than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mornar Bar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Grbalj has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mornar Bar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Mornar Bar is indisputable favorite.

In this match Mornar Bar is certain favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Grbalj won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Grbalj won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Grbalj Radanovici
Montenegrin Druga Liga
14.04.21	Grbalj Radanovici - Drezga	1:2 ✺
10.04.21	Ibar Rožaje - Grbalj Radanovici	3:2 ✺
04.04.21	Grbalj Radanovici - Igalo	0:2 ✺
31.03.21	Arsenal Tivat - Grbalj Radanovici	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Grbalj Radanovici	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin Druga Liga
14.04.21	Berane - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Mornar Bar - Bokelj	2:1 ✺
04.04.21	Mornar Bar - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1:0 ✺
31.03.21	Drezga - Mornar Bar	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Igalo - Mornar Bar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Druga Liga
03.12.20	Mornar Bar - Grbalj Radanovici	2:0
11.10.20	Grbalj Radanovici - Mornar Bar	2:3
23.08.20	Mornar Bar - Grbalj Radanovici	1:0
Montenegrin First League
03.04.19	Mornar Bar - Grbalj Radanovici	2:4
05.12.18	Grbalj Radanovici - Mornar Bar	2:0
23.09.18	Mornar Bar - Grbalj Radanovici	1:1
21.05.16	Mornar Bar - Grbalj Radanovici	3:1

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