Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 31

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Greifswald		Altglienicke

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.52
	2.66	3.6	2.41
	2.61	3.43	2.43
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.55	3.38	2.35
	2.33	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.3)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greifswald
36.1%

Draw
26.5%

Altglienicke
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

25.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greifswald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Altglienicke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altglienicke than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Greifswald - Altglienicke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Atilgan O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greifswald won 2.

Greifswald is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Altglienicke is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Greifswald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Greifswald won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Greifswald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Altglienicke	11	6	3	2	20:14	6	21
8	Greifswald	11	5	4	2	23:16	7	19

Last Results with these Odds

Greifswald - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.08%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
17.04.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Greifswald	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Greifswald - Zwickau	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Greifswald - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Preussen - Greifswald	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Greifswald - Magdeburg II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTTL
- VSG Altglienicke
German Regionalliga Nordost
18.04.26	Altglienicke - Magdeburg II	5:1 ✺
15.04.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Altglienicke	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Hallescher - Altglienicke	2:3 ✺
02.04.26	Altglienicke - Chemie Leipzig	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Altglienicke - Eilenburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
01.11.25	Altglienicke - Greifswald	1:2
17.04.25	Greifswald - Altglienicke	2:1
26.10.24	Altglienicke - Greifswald	2:2
12.05.24	Altglienicke - Greifswald	5:2
06.02.24	Greifswald - Altglienicke	1:2
06.05.23	Greifswald - Altglienicke	1:2
25.11.22	Altglienicke - Greifswald	2:3

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