Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Greifswald		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.55	3.55
	1.85	3.60	3.50
	1.78	3.60	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	3.58 ↓ (3.58)	3.59 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greifswald
49.5%

Draw
25.2%

Luckenwalde
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.4%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greifswald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Greifswald - Luckenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Bokake G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Niemitz M. ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, Bokake G. ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, Pilger F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th and 18th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greifswald won 1.

Greifswald is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Greifswald may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Greifswald holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Greifswald in today's match, at odds of 1.83.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Greifswald has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:19 (averaging 1.6:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Greifswald against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Greifswald	11	5	4	2	23:16	7	19
18	Luckenwalde	11	1	0	10	9:28	-19	3

Last Results with these Odds

Luckenwalde - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 25.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
16.09.26	RSV Eintracht - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Greifswald - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:3 ✺
26.08.26	Greifswald - Babelsberg	2:1
15.08.26	Preussen - Greifswald	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Zwickau - Greifswald	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTWTW
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
12.09.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Luckenwalde	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Luckenwalde - Berliner FC Dynamo	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Luckenwalde - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:5
01.08.26	RSV Eintracht - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Eintracht Mahlsdorf - Luckenwalde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
14.03.26	Luckenwalde - Greifswald	1:1
21.09.25	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	0:2
16.03.25	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	1:0
21.09.24	Luckenwalde - Greifswald	2:1
03.03.24	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	2:2
15.09.23	Luckenwalde - Greifswald	1:5
14.05.23	Luckenwalde - Greifswald	6:2

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