Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA BAYERN - ROUND 31

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday


	Greuther Fürth II		Heimstetten

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.55	4	4.5
	1.58	4.24	5.13
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.58	4.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)	4.09 ↑ (3.65)	4.79 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth II
58.5%

Draw
22.4%

Heimstetten
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.9%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greuther Fürth II's performance.

Heimstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Greuther Fürth II - Heimstetten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Greuther Fürth II won 2.

Greuther Fürth II is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heimstetten is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Greuther Fürth II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Heimstetten have a series of home games.

In this match Greuther Fürth II is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Greuther Fürth II won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Greuther Fürth II won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
06.04.23	Vilzing - Greuther Fürth II	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Augsburg II - Greuther Fürth II	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Greuther Fürth II - Illertissen	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	Buchbach - Greuther Fürth II	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Greuther Fürth II - Schweinfurt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLT
- SV Heimstetten
German Regionalliga Bayern
31.03.23	Heimstetten - Bayern Munich II	1:8 ✺
24.03.23	Wacker Burghausen - Heimstetten	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	Heimstetten - Buchbach	0:0 ✺
17.03.23	Heimstetten - Rain am Lech	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Heimstetten - Augsburg II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
16.09.22	Heimstetten - Greuther Fürth II	2:0
04.05.22	Greuther Fürth II - Heimstetten	0:2
29.09.21	Heimstetten - Greuther Fürth II	2:0
16.11.19	Greuther Fürth II - Heimstetten	2:0
23.07.19	Heimstetten - Greuther Fürth II	1:3
06.04.19	Heimstetten - Greuther Fürth II	2:0
15.09.18	Greuther Fürth II - Heimstetten	3:0

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