Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Greuther Fürth II		Memmingen

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.65
	1.79	3.32	4.65
	1.8	3.26	4.45
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.77	3.22	4.43
	2.17	3.54	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.21)	3.26 ↓ (3.49)	4.24 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth II
49.9%

Draw
28.3%

Memmingen
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

25.9%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greuther Fürth II's performance.

Memmingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memmingen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greuther Fürth II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memmingen than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memmingen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Greuther Fürth II - Memmingen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Engel J. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Lutz F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Maier P. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Meyer M. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greuther Fürth II won 0.

Greuther Fürth II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Memmingen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Memmingen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Greuther Fürth II won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Greuther Fürth II won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Memmingen	12	7	3	2	14:7	7	24
16	Furth II	11	3	2	6	15:18	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Memmingen - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.51%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
06.04.26	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Schwaben Augsburg - Greuther Fürth II	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Greuther Fürth II - Bayern Munich II	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL
- FC Memmingen
German Regionalliga Bayern
06.04.26	Bayreuth - Memmingen	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Memmingen - Hankofen-Hailing	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Bayern Munich II - Memmingen	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Memmingen - Aubstadt	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Memmingen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
26.09.25	Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II	1:1
26.04.24	Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II	1:0
08.10.23	Greuther Fürth II - Memmingen	1:2
23.04.22	Greuther Fürth II - Memmingen	0:1
24.09.21	Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II	3:3
16.08.19	Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II	0:1
30.03.19	Greuther Fürth II - Memmingen	4:2

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