Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Groene Ster		Gemert

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.60	2.20
	2.55	3.7	2.18
	2.54	3.79	2.11
	2.57	4.02	2.2	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.06
	2.63	3.76	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.02)	3.76 ↓ (4)	2.15 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groene Ster
34.9%

Draw
23.7%

Gemert
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

22.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

21.9%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groene Ster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Groene Ster's form might have worsened.

Gemert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gemert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groene Ster than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Groene Ster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gemert than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gemert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Groene Ster - Gemert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Derde Divisie (Relegation) and 12th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Gemert may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Groene Ster has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Groene Ster is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Groene Ster has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:13 (averaging 1.2:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Groene Ster against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:10 goals (averaging 1.7:3.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKSV Groene Ster
Dutch KNVB Beker
22.09.26	Groene Ster - Amsterdamsche FC	1:6 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
19.09.26	EVV Echt - Groene Ster	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Groene Ster - VV Zwaluwen	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.09.26	Groene Ster - Heerjansdam	2:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
30.08.26	Groene Ster - VVSB	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWT
- VV Gemert
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.26	IJsselmeervogels - Gemert	0:3 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.26	Gemert - UDI 19	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Gemert - UNA	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dongen - Gemert	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Rijnvogels - Gemert	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
12.04.26	Groene Ster - Gemert	1:2
09.11.25	Gemert - Groene Ster	1:0
25.05.24	Groene Ster - Gemert	3:4
26.02.23	Groene Ster - Gemert	1:4
07.09.22	Gemert - Groene Ster	2:1

Groene Ster - Gemert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide