Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Grorud Matchbane (Oslo)

Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)


	Grorud		Åsane

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.8	2.2
	2.65	3.9	2.15
	2.7	3.8	2.25
	2.75	3.85	2.14
	2.77	4.36	2.2
	2.62	3.75	2.15
	2.7	4.2	2.17
	2.75	3.85	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.47)	3.94 ↑ (3.77)	2.18 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grorud
33.9%

Draw
23.5%

Åsane
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24.8%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grorud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Åsane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Åsane than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Grorud - Åsane Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grorud will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Åsane will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Åsane: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Grorud is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grorud won 1.

Recent matches Grorud is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Åsane is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Grorud won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Grorud won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grorud IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.22	Mjøndalen - Grorud	3:0 ✺
16.10.22	Grorud - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
10.10.22	Sandnes Ulf - Grorud	2:4 ✺
03.10.22	Grorud - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Grorud - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWWTL
- Åsane Fotbal
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.22	Åsane - Bryne	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Start - Åsane	4:1 ✺
10.10.22	Åsane - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
03.10.22	Stabæk - Åsane	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Åsane - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.05.22	Åsane - Grorud	3:2
06.11.21	Grorud - Åsane	3:2
18.08.21	Åsane - Grorud	3:1
28.10.20	Grorud - Åsane	1:4
27.08.20	Åsane - Grorud	1:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
31.08.19	Grorud - Åsane	4:3
26.05.19	Åsane - Grorud	2:3

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