Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Grorud 2		Gjelleråsen

	1	X	2
	5.15	5.5	1.33
	3.64	4.6	1.51
	4.5	4.5	1.44
	4.15	4.8	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↓ (5.2)	4.85 ↓ (5.28)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grorud 2
20.5%

Draw
18.4%

Gjelleråsen
61.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

17%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

16.6%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grorud 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Gjelleråsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grorud 2 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gjelleråsen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gjelleråsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Grorud 2 - Gjelleråsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grorud 2 will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Gjelleråsen will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grorud 2: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Grorud 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gjelleråsen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gjelleråsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gjelleråsen is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gjelleråsen to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grorud 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grorud 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grorud 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
27.08.23	Sandviken - Grorud 2	4:2 ✺
21.08.23	Grorud 2 - Stabæk 2	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Skedsmo - Grorud 2	4:2 ✺
16.07.23	Grorud 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	0:1 ✺
09.07.23	Os TF - Grorud 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gjelleråsen IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
29.08.23	Gjelleråsen - Ullern 2	6:2 ✺
19.08.23	Frigg Oslo - Gjelleråsen	2:4 ✺
12.08.23	Os TF - Gjelleråsen	4:3 ✺
15.07.23	Gjelleråsen - Sandviken	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Fana - Gjelleråsen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
21.08.21	Grorud 2 - Gjelleråsen	0:3

Grorud 2 - Gjelleråsen