Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 27

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gryf Słupsk		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.8	1.9
	3.1	4	1.9
	3	4.04	1.97
	3.05	3.65	2.01	Watch
	3.1	4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.85)	3.9 ↑ (3.65)	1.94 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gryf Słupsk
29.8%

Draw
23.3%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
46.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

24.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gryf Słupsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gryf Słupsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Gryf Słupsk - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, Palat P. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Gryf Słupsk is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nowe Skalmierzyce is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nowe Skalmierzyce will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gryf Słupsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gryf Słupsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.04.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Gryf Słupsk	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Gryf Słupsk - Lech Poznań 2	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Flota Świnoujście - Gryf Słupsk	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Gryf Słupsk - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gryf Słupsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTTL
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.04.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:4 ✺
06.04.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.09.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Gryf Słupsk	0:1

Gryf Słupsk - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce