Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Paulista - Round 9

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Paulo Constantino (Presidente Prudente)


	Grêmio Prudente		Mirassol B

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.85
				Watch
	3.58	3.2	1.97
	3.76	3.32	1.92	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.85
	3.95	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (1.87)	3.32 ↓ (3.6)	1.89 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Prudente
24.3%

Draw
27.4%

Mirassol B
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Prudente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Prudente's form might have worsened.

Mirassol B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (+24.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Prudente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol B than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Grêmio Prudente - Mirassol B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grêmio Prudente will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mirassol B will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio Prudente: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Andrade (Pen),
90+2', 1 - 1, Rodrigues G. ⚽,

Preview

Grêmio Prudente is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mirassol B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio Prudente will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grêmio Prudente won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.08.24	XV de Jaú - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Grêmio Prudente - VOCEM	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Grêmio Prudente - Votuporanguense	2:2 ✺
10.07.24	Mirassol B - Grêmio Prudente	2:2 ✺
29.06.24	Grêmio Prudente - XV de Jaú	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL
- Mirassol B
Brazilian Copa Paulista
05.08.24	Mirassol B - VOCEM	1:0 ✺
29.07.24	Votuporanguense - Mirassol B	2:2 ✺
15.07.24	XV de Jaú - Mirassol B	1:0 ✺
10.07.24	Mirassol B - Grêmio Prudente	2:2 ✺
02.07.24	VOCEM - Mirassol B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
10.07.24	Mirassol B - Grêmio Prudente	2:2

Grêmio Prudente - Mirassol B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide