Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 18

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Grêmio U20		Cuiabá U20

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.75
	1.8	3.6	3.65
	1.84	3.7	3.74
	1.76	3.62	3.93
	1.73	3.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.73)	3.68 ↓ (3.9)	3.71 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grêmio U20
51.1%

Draw
24.6%

Cuiabá U20
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

22.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

19.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cuiabá U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá U20 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grêmio U20 - Cuiabá U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cuiabá U20 (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Nathan ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Caua Wendel ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, Nathan ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 1 - 3, Jardiel ⚽,
75', 2 - 3, Gabriel Mec ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Grêmio U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cuiabá U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cuiabá U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Grêmio U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Grêmio U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grêmio U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Grêmio U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS U20
Brazilian Gaucho U20
12.07.25	Grêmio U20 - Internacional U20	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
09.07.25	Grêmio U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
28.06.25	Grêmio U20 - São José Porto Alegre U20	3:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
25.06.25	Grêmio U20 - Internacional U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW
- Cuiabá U20
Brasileiro U20
09.07.25	Cuiabá U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
01.07.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Cuiabá U20	0:0 ✺
25.06.25	Fluminense U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	São Paulo U20 - Cuiabá U20	1:1 ✺
28.05.25	Cuiabá U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
21.08.24	Grêmio U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:1

Upcoming Matches