Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 17

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Grêmio U20		Fortaleza U20

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.30	2.40
	2.45	3.35	2.40
	2.58	3.63	2.50
	2.52	3.5	2.47
	2.45	3.25	2.40
	2.50	3.34	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.22)	3.4 (3.4)	2.43 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio U20
36.3%

Draw
26.6%

Fortaleza U20
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio U20's form might have worsened.

Fortaleza U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza U20 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Grêmio U20 - Fortaleza U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 16).

Grêmio U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortaleza U20 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Grêmio U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS U20
Brasileiro U20
17.06.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
14.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Internacional U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Fluminense U20	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
05.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Novo Hamburgo U20	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Novo Hamburgo U20 - Grêmio U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTW
- Fortaleza U20
Brasileiro U20
17.06.26	Fortaleza U20 - Avaí U20	0:0 ✺
11.06.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Fortaleza U20	3:2 ✺
27.05.26	Fortaleza U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Bahia U20 - Fortaleza U20	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	Fortaleza U20 - Santos U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
09.04.25	Grêmio U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:1
07.08.24	Grêmio U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:2
08.03.23	Fortaleza U20 - Grêmio U20	0:2
04.07.21	Grêmio U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:0

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