Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Guédiawaye		HLM

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.56	3.25
	2.57	2.55	3.26	Watch
	2.45	2.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.48)	2.52 ↓ (2.58)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guédiawaye
35.9%

Draw
36%

HLM
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

35.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

34%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guédiawaye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

HLM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guédiawaye than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HLM than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, HLM has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guédiawaye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guédiawaye won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	ASC HLM	30	5	18	7	18:24	-6	33
13	Guediawaye	30	7	8	15	29:34	-5	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guédiawaye FC
Senegal Ligue 1
28.12.25	Camberene - Guédiawaye	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Guédiawaye - Casa Sport	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Guédiawaye - Jaraaf	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Pikine - Guédiawaye	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Guédiawaye - Sonacos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- HLM
Senegal Ligue 1
28.12.25	HLM - Teungueth	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	HLM - Wally Daan	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - HLM	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	HLM - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	HLM - Dakar SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
17.03.25	HLM - Guédiawaye	0:0
03.11.24	Guédiawaye - HLM	0:1

Guédiawaye - HLM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide