Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Guadalajara Chivas U21		UNAM Pumas U21

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.40	4.10
	1.74	3.45	3.95
	1.69	3.44	4.34
	1.75	3.54	4.27
	1.74	3.45	4.20
	1.82	3.53	4.05
	1.72	3.40	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.14)	3.46 ↑ (3)	4.14 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalajara Chivas U21
52%

Draw
26.2%

UNAM Pumas U21
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

29.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalajara Chivas U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guadalajara Chivas U21's performance.

UNAM Pumas U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM Pumas U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalajara Chivas U21 than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guadalajara Chivas U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM Pumas U21 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM Pumas U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 - UNAM Pumas U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).

In recent matches, Guadalajara U21 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pumas U21's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pumas U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Guadalajara U21 has had a series of away games.

Guadalajara U21 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Guadalajara U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
4	Guadalajara Chivas U21	12	5	2	2	3	20:19	21
8	UNAM Pumas U21	12	4	1	4	3	14:15	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalajara Chivas U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
05.09.26	Atlético San Luis U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Pachuca U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	2:3 penalties ✺
22.08.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Tijuana U21	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Santos Laguna U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Puebla U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWLWL
- UNAM Pumas U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
06.09.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Club León U21	1:2 penalties ✺
28.08.26	Tijuana U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Querétaro U21	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Juárez U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Toluca U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
05.04.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	3:4 penalties
05.10.25	UNAM Pumas U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	2:3 penalties

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