Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Guadalupe		Moravia

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.30
	1.92	3.35	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.36
	1.99	3.56	3.48
	1.93	3.25	3.3
	1.97	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	3.4 (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
47%

Draw
26.3%

Moravia
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Moravia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moravia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Guadalupe - Moravia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 7th and 8th).

Guadalupe is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Moravia is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Guadalupe is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Guadalupe has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Specifically in home fixtures for Guadalupe against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
13.09.26	Santa Ana - Guadalupe	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cariari Pococí - Guadalupe	3:3 ✺
24.08.26	Guadalupe - Carmelita	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Guadalupe - Aserrí	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- FC Moravia
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.09.26	Pitbulls - Moravia	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Moravia - Santa Ana	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Moravia	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Moravia - Cariari Pococí	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Carmelita - Moravia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

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