The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guaireña 26.5%
Draw 28.1%
General Caballero JLM 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.6%
24.8%
54.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
24.4%
55.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaireña's performance.
General Caballero JLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General Caballero JLM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaireña that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that General Caballero JLM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guaireña - General Caballero JLM Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Colman J. ⚽,
17', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', Verdun A. (Penalty Awarded),
72', 0 - 2, Verdun A. ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, Verdun A. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaireña won 1.
Guaireña is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
General Caballero has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
General Caballero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, General Caballero is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guaireña won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Guaireña won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Paraguay
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