Match Info
Coppa Italia Serie C - 1/16-finalsDate: 2 September 2026, WednesdayLocation: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)
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Gubbio |
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Vis Pesaro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.20 |
3.10 |
2.90 |
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2.2 |
3.2 |
3 |
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 |
2.4 |
3.26 |
2.96 |
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 |
2.24 |
3.29 |
2.92 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.32 |
3.3 |
2.99 |
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 |
2.17 |
3.15 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.42) |
3.21 ↓
(3.22) |
2.94 ↑
(2.57) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gubbio
40.5% | Draw
28.4% | Vis Pesaro
31.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vis Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gubbio - Vis Pesaro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Spina M. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Baroncelli L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 73', 3 - 0, Ghirardello T. ⚽,
- 86', 4 - 0, Cesari M. ⚽,
- 90', 5 - 0, Carraro F. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 2.Recent performances by Gubbio have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Vis Pesaro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 1.5:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Gubbio - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 34.98%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie C Group B | | | 12.02.26 | Gubbio - Vis Pesaro | 1:0 | | 27.09.25 | Vis Pesaro - Gubbio | 1:1 | | 11.03.25 | Vis Pesaro - Gubbio | 1:1 | | 29.10.24 | Gubbio - Vis Pesaro | 1:3 | | 02.02.24 | Vis Pesaro - Gubbio | 1:3 | | 23.09.23 | Gubbio - Vis Pesaro | 1:0 | | 01.04.23 | Gubbio - Vis Pesaro | 3:0 |
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