Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 1

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guidonia Montecelio		Gubbio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	2.95	4.00
	1.91	2.95	3.70	Watch
	2.34	2.97	3.53
	2.21	2.96	3.37	Watch
	1.96	3.10	4.05
	1.97	3.21	4.03	Watch
	1.91	3.00	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.3)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	3.83 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
45.4%

Draw
30.5%

Gubbio
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

32.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guidonia Montecelio's performance.

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Drago G. (G) 30. Baroni R. 6. Malomo A. 2. Esempio S. 77. Zappella D. 27. Viteritti O. 13. Santoro S. 7. Sannipoli D. 8. Errico A. 10. Spavone A. 9. Vertainen E.	1. Bagnolini N. (G) 4. Baroncelli L. 15. Signorini A. (C) 6. Barry O. 27. Podda L. 8. Rosaia G. 47. Di Noia G. 14. Cardascio A. 3. Meconi E. 92. Baldini E. 77. Minta A.
Substitutes
1. Avella M. (G) . D'Urso C. . Ferrari F. 3. Frascatore P. . Mule E. 11. Murgia A. 96. Stellato G. (G) 21. Tonetto M.	76. Barani L. 12. Barbanera L. 9. Cesari M. 70. Ferrini M. 73. Ghirardello T. 10. La Mantia A. 22. Marson L. (G) 24. Piomboni L. 7. Spina M. 34. Zallu F. 21. Zorzetto B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Santoro S. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Giannotti P. ⚽,
39', Podda L. ↓, Zallu F. ↑,
43', Esempio S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Baldini E. ↓, Ghirardello T. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Giannotti P. ⚽,
57', Zallu F. 🟨,
64', Borghini D. 🟥,
64', Barry O. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,
64', Di Noia G. ↓, Cesari M. ↑,
71', Giannotti P. ↓, Murgia A. ↑,
71', Spavone A. ↓, Frascatore P. ↑,
75', Cardascio A. ↓, Spina M. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Vertainen E. ⚽,
81', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Tonetto M. ↑,
81', Vertainen E. ↓, Ferrari F. ↑,
87', Zappella D. ↓, Mule E. ↑,

Preview

Guidonia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guidonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12
17	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7

Last Results with these Odds

Guidonia Montecelio - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Gubbio - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.82%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Grosseto - Guidonia Montecelio	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Carpi	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Ascoli - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Juventus U23 - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Ternana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLT
- AS Gubbio 1910
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Gubbio - Trestina	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Fiorentina - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
03.05.26	Pineto - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Gubbio - Pineto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio	0:1
18.10.25	Gubbio - Guidonia Montecelio	0:2

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