Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Gucha Stars		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.02	3.08	Watch
	2.62	3.08	2.67
	2.54	2.9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.55)	3 (3)	2.76 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gucha Stars
36.6%

Draw
30.4%

Nairobi City Stars
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Gucha Stars - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gucha Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nairobi City has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Gucha Stars	36	11	8	17	32:38	-6	41
14	Nairobi City	36	9	12	15	31:36	-5	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gucha Stars FC
Kenyan Super League
07.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
17.12.25	Naivas - Gucha Stars	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Luanda Villa - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Gucha Stars - MOFA	2:3 ✺
30.11.25	Gucha Stars - Mwatate United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWTLW
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Super League
21.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Soy United	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars	Nairobi City awarded ✺
12.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Equity Bank	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Mombasa United	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Nairobi City Stars - Nzoia United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 T?WWT

Gucha Stars - Nairobi City Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide